Collective-State Inference: A Computational Organization Theory for Collective-Aware Artificial Intelligence
When does evidence about interacting participants justify an AI system's claim about the condition of a collective? This manuscript proposes the theoretical requirements for that interpretation, including collective boundaries, how evidence combines, uncertainty, and comparison with simpler explanations.
Status: Unpublished and currently in external journal peer review following editorial suitability assessment. It has not been accepted, and CSI has not yet been empirically validated.